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The Black Swan

The Black Swan Book
Author : Mercedes Lackey
Publisher : Penguin
Release : 2000-05-01
ISBN : 1101119063
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

After his wife's untimely death, a powerful sorcerer dedicates his life to seeking revenge against all womankind. He turns his captives into beautiful swans--who briefly regain human form by the fleeting light of the moon. Only Odette, noblest of the enchanted flock, has the courage to confront her captor. But can she gain the allies she needs to free herself and the other swan-maidens from their magical slavery?A monumental tale of loyalty and betrayal, of magic good and evil, of love both carnal and pure, and of the duality of human nature, The Black Swan is a rich tapestry which is sure to become an all-time masterpiece of fantasy.

The Black Swan Second Edition

The Black Swan  Second Edition Book
Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Publisher : Random House
Release : 2010-05-11
ISBN : 0679604189
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

The most influential book of the past seventy-five years: a groundbreaking exploration of everything we know about what we don’t know, now with a new section called “On Robustness and Fragility.” A black swan is a highly improbable event with three principal characteristics: It is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random, and more predictable, than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. For Nassim Nicholas Taleb, black swans underlie almost everything about our world, from the rise of religions to events in our own personal lives. Why do we not acknowledge the phenomenon of black swans until after they occur? Part of the answer, according to Taleb, is that humans are hardwired to learn specifics when they should be focused on generalities. We concentrate on things we already know and time and time again fail to take into consideration what we don’t know. We are, therefore, unable to truly estimate opportunities, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify, narrate, and categorize, and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the “impossible.” For years, Taleb has studied how we fool ourselves into thinking we know more than we actually do. We restrict our thinking to the irrelevant and inconsequential, while large events continue to surprise us and shape our world. In this revelatory book, Taleb will change the way you look at the world, and this second edition features a new philosophical and empirical essay, “On Robustness and Fragility,” which offers tools to navigate and exploit a Black Swan world. Taleb is a vastly entertaining writer, with wit, irreverence, and unusual stories to tell. He has a polymathic command of subjects ranging from cognitive science to business to probability theory. Elegant, startling, and universal in its applications, The Black Swan is a landmark book—itself a black swan.

The Black Swan

The Black Swan Book
Author : Instaread
Publisher : Instaread
Release : 2015-12-14
ISBN : 1944195491
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb | Key Takeaways, Analysis & Review Preview: The Black Swan by Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a philosophical treatment of Taleb's research on highly improbable, high-impact events. These events, which Taleb calls “Black Swans,” are so improbable that they are unpredictable. However, pundits and scholars are often inclined to fit such extreme events into a causal narrative after the fact, in order to make history appear more organized… PLEASE NOTE: This is key takeaways and analysis of the book and NOT the original book. Inside this Instaread of The Black Swan:Overview of the bookImportant PeopleKey TakeawaysAnalysis of Key Takeaways

Stalking the Black Swan

Stalking the Black Swan Book
Author : Kenneth A. Posner
Publisher : Columbia University Press
Release : 2010-03-31
ISBN : 9780231521673
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

Kenneth A. Posner spent close to two decades as a Wall Street analyst, tracking the so-called "specialty finance" sector, which included controversial companies such as Countrywide, Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, CIT, and MasterCard many of which were caught in the subprime mortgage and capital markets crisis of 2007. While extreme volatility is nothing new in finance, the recent downturn caught many off guard, indicating that the traditional approach to decision making had let them down. Introducing a new framework for handling and evaluating extreme risk, Posner draws on years of experience to show how decision makers can best cope with the "Black Swans" of our time. Posner's shrewd assessment combines the classic fundamental research approach of Benjamin Graham and David Dodd with more recent developments in cognitive science, computational theory, and quantitative finance. He outlines a probabilistic approach to decision making that involves forecasting across a range of scenarios, and he explains how to balance confidence, react accurately to fast-breaking information, overcome information overload, zero in on the critical issues, penetrate the information asymmetry shielding corporate executives, and integrate the power of human intuition with sophisticated analytics. Emphasizing the computational resources we already have at our disposal our computers and our minds Posner offers a new track to decision making for analysts, investors, traders, corporate executives, risk managers, regulators, policymakers, journalists, and anyone who faces a world of extreme volatility.

The Black Swan Problem

The Black Swan Problem Book
Author : Hakan Jankensgard
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Release : 2022-04-20
ISBN : 1119868165
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

An incisive framework for companies seeking to increase their resilience In The Black Swan Problem: Risk Management Strategies for a World of Wild Uncertainty, renowned risk and finance expert Håkan Jankensgård delivers an extraordinary and startling discussion of how firms should navigate a world of uncertainty and unexpected events. It examines three fundamental, high-level strategies for creating resilience in the face of “black swan” risks, highly unlikely but devastating events: insurance, buffering, and flexibility: The author also presents: Detailed case studies, stories, and examples of major firms that failed to anticipate Black Swan Problems and, as a result, were either wiped out or experienced a major strategy disruption Extending the usual academic focus on individual biases to analyze Swans from an organizational perspective and prime organizations to proactive rather than reactive action Practical applications and tactics to mitigate Black Swan risks and protect corporate strategies against catastrophic losses and the collateral damage that they cause Strategies and tools for turning Black Swan events into opportunities, reflecting the fact that resilience can be used for strategic advantage An expert blueprint for companies seeking to anticipate, mitigate, and process tail risks, The Black Swan Problem is a must-read for students and practitioners of risk management, executives, founders, managers, and other business leaders.

The Black Swan

The Black Swan Book
Author : Eric Lybeck
Publisher : CRC Press
Release : 2017-07-05
ISBN : 1351352989
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

One of the primary qualities of good creative thinking is an intellectual freedom to think outside of the box. Good creative thinkers resist orthodox ideas, take new lines of enquiry, and generally come at problems from the kinds of angles almost no one else could. And, what is more, when the ideas of creative thinkers are convincing, they can reshape an entire topic, and change the orthodoxy for good. Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s 2007 bestseller The Black Swan: The Impact of the Highly Improbable is precisely such a book: an entertaining, polemical, creative attack on how people in general, and economic experts in particular view the possibility of catastrophic events. Taleb writes with rare creative verve for someone who is also an expert in mathematics, finance, and epistemology (the philosophy of knowledge), and he martials all his skills to turn standard reasoning inside out. His central point is that far from being unimportant, extremely rare events are frequently the most important ones of all: it is highly improbable, but highly consequential occurrences – what he calls Black Swans – that have shaped history most. As a result, Taleb concludes, improbability is not a reason to act as if a possible event does not matter. Rather, it should inspire the opposite reaction.

Dance Of The Black Swan

Dance Of The Black Swan Book
Author : Encre
Publisher : Singapore New Reading Technology Pte. Ltd.
Release : 2022-02-09
ISBN : 0987650XXX
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

Svanna Rose is the black swan of their family. She's the main character that always play the role of antagonist to her own story. She is like Odile, the evil daughter of sorcerer who disguised as Odette. But who are we to judge her, if we are all pretending to be someone who aren't we? Who are we to judge her if she is also a victim of cruelty? Pursuing her dream to become the prima ballerina of the famous ballet 'The Swan Lake', she found herself stuck in a very dangerous situation..

Articles of a Friendly Society Now Held at the Black Swan Inn in the City of Hereford Calculated to Raise a Stock Or Fund for the Benefit of Members Widows and Other Purposes Therein Mentioned

Articles of a Friendly Society Now Held at the Black Swan Inn  in the City of Hereford  Calculated to Raise a Stock Or Fund  for the Benefit of Members  Widows  and Other Purposes  Therein Mentioned Book
Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Release : 1817
ISBN : 0987650XXX
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

Download Articles of a Friendly Society Now Held at the Black Swan Inn in the City of Hereford Calculated to Raise a Stock Or Fund for the Benefit of Members Widows and Other Purposes Therein Mentioned book written by , available in PDF, EPUB, and Kindle, or read full book online anywhere and anytime. Compatible with any devices.

The Black Swan

The Black Swan Book
Author : Anonim
Publisher : Unknown
Release : 1935
ISBN : 0987650XXX
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

Download The Black Swan book written by , available in PDF, EPUB, and Kindle, or read full book online anywhere and anytime. Compatible with any devices.

Black Swan

Black Swan Book
Author : Carolyn Landon,Eileen Harrison
Publisher : ReadHowYouWant.com
Release : 2011
ISBN : 1459624769
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

A frank and powerful memoir of the life of an Aboriginal woman, from her early years on the Lake Tyers mission to discovery of her talent as a painter.

The Black Swan

The Black Swan Book
Author : Nassim Nicholas Taleb,Nassim Nicholas Taleb, PH.D., MBA
Publisher : Random House
Release : 2007-04-17
ISBN : 0987650XXX
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

Examines the role of the unexpected, discussing why improbable events are not anticipated or understood properly, and how humans rationalize the black swan phenomenon to make it appear less random.

The Blank Swan

The Blank Swan Book
Author : Elie Ayache
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Release : 2010-05-05
ISBN : 9780470661765
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

"Elie Ayache is the only person to present arguments about The Black Swan and rare events that I had not thought about. He does what philosophical inquiry has always done: to go the extra mile and look at the world in a deeply philosophical way." Nassim Nicholas Taleb, PhD, author of The Black Swan, Distinguished Professor, New York University Polytechnic Institute & Principal, Universa Investments. "Elie Ayache has uniquely straddled the down-to-earth world of money and complex financial derivatives and the abstract world of the mind and philosophy. Insightful and insane in equal measures, this book is not an easy read. I wouldn't recommend this for holiday reading on the beach but perhaps for while sitting in front of a log fire with a large Scotch, or probably several.??? Paul Wilmott, author of Frequently Asked Questions in Quantitative Finance October 19th 1987 was a day of huge change for the global finance industry. On this day the stock market crashed, the Nobel Prize winning Black-Scholes formula failed and volatility smiles were born, and on this day Elie Ayache began his career, on the trading floor of the French Futures and Options Exchange. Experts everywhere sought to find a model for this event, and ways to simulate it in order to avoid a recurrence in the future, but the one thing that struck Elie that day was the belief that what actually happened on 19th October 1987 is simply non reproducible outside 19th October 1987 - you cannot reduce it to a chain of causes and effects, or even to a random generator, that can then be reproduced or represented in a theoretical framework. The Blank Swan is Elie's highly original treatise on the financial markets – presenting a totally revolutionary rethinking of derivative pricing and technology. It is not a diatribe against Nassim Taleb's The Black Swan, but criticises the whole background or framework of predictable and unpredictable events – white and black swans alike – , i.e. the very category of prediction. In this revolutionary book, Elie redefines the components of the technology needed to price and trade derivatives. Most importantly, and drawing on a long tradition of philosophy of the event from Henri Bergson to Gilles Deleuze, to Alain Badiou, and on a recent brand of philosophy of contingency, embodied by the speculative materialism of Quentin Meillassoux, Elie redefines the market itself against the common perceptions of orthodox financial theory, general equilibrium theory and the sociology of finance. This book will change the way that we think about derivatives and approach the market. If anything, derivatives should be renamed contingent claims, where contingency is now absolute and no longer derivative, and the market is just its medium. The book also establishes the missing link between quantitative modelling (no longer dependent on probability theory but on a novel brand of mathematics which Elie calls the mathematics of price) and the reality of the market."

Oil electricity and Taleb s Black Swan

Oil  electricity and Taleb   s    Black Swan    Book
Author : Ullrich Müller
Publisher : GRIN Verlag
Release : 2012-11-26
ISBN : 365631974X
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

Master's Thesis from the year 2012 in the subject Business economics - Business Management, Corporate Governance, grade: excellent, Corvinus University Budapest (School of Management), language: English, abstract: The paper is the result of the attempt to subject the socio-economic world of energy to an analysis regarding a phenomenon called the ‘Black Swan’. This concept has been made popular by Nassim Nicholas Taleb, who has become a popular point of reference ever since the beginning of the financial crisis in 2007. Based on his work, the paper first defines the concept of the ‘Black Swan’ as an extremely unlikely high impact event, which is evidently unpredictable ex ante; however, is regarded as potentially avoidable by most observers ex post facto. The underlying assumption is, that against commonly held believe, it is not a long chain of incremental and statistically relevantly many events that makes history, but a seemingly insignificant number of outliers, or hence, ‘Black Swans’. Consequently, in its second part the paper focuses on a critical examination of the strategic prediction models used in the energy business today, which are mainly based on driver based models. Relying on Gaussian Bell Curve type normal distributions in order to predict future supply and demand, these models try to predict future price and value chain developments, ultimately searching for a strategic direction. Using historic data and experiences in order to review to what extent the ‘Black Swan’ influenced the development of the energy world in the past, the paper questions this approach by showing that time and again similar predictions have been rendered obsolete by real developments. In order to apply the necessary methodological rigor, ‘Black Swans’ and their impact are measured according to predefined criteria and indicators, elaborated in the first part of the paper. These indicators are mainly qualitative, however, as an empirical anchor the paper uses the historical development of the oil price, focusing on peaks and lows. The most striking historical cases of sudden price rise or decline are examined in detail in order to find commonalities and differences. Finally, based on the findings of this historical analysis, the paper raises the question, whether it is possible to draw any practical conclusions for the future, looking for methods, which could provide protection from ‘Black Swan’ events.

Critique on Black Swan and Nicholas Taleb

Critique on Black Swan and Nicholas Taleb Book
Author : IntroBooks Team
Publisher : IntroBooks
Release : 2022-05-16
ISBN : 0987650XXX
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

Nassim Nicholas Taleb is a Lebanese born American literateur, scholar, essayist, trade-cum-risk analyst, statistician and so on. His multi-faceted talent and the ability to wander freely amongst diverse faculty of subjects have made him a force to reckon with in the gamut of global intellectual society. Most of Taleb's works are related to the dilemma of volatility, probability and uncertainty. Nicholas Taleb was born in Amioun (Lebanon) in the year 1960. He is an author of international fame and has served as an academician in several universities and is currently positioned as a distinguished professor of Risk Engineering at the New York University (Tandon School of Engineering). He has authored so many books to devour. The Black Swan, Antifragile, Skin in the Game, Fooled by Randomness, The Bed of Procrustes, Dynamic Hedging to name a few (combinedly called Incerto) are termed as Taleb’s most outstanding creations in the contemporary literary world. Nassim Nicholas Taleb has had devoted a good 21 years as a risk-taker (quantitative trader) before becoming a wanderer and researcher in spheres of mathematics, philosophy and largely potential problems with chance and probability. Over and above being impressed as a trader, Taleb has also written over 50 academic articles in multiple subjects as a sequel to Incerto. The topics covered are from physics, philosophy, statistics, economics, ethics, quantitative finance and international affairs. The central idea in all these creations has centered on the notion of risk and probability with an undercurrent of randomness.

Black Swan Rising

Black Swan Rising Book
Author : Lee Carroll
Publisher : Random House
Release : 2011-05-12
ISBN : 1446465942
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

New York jeweller Garet James has her fair share of problems: money, an elderly father, a struggling business. One day she comes across an antiques shop she'd never noticed before. The owner possesses an old silver box that's been sealed shut. Would she help an old man and open it, perhaps? She does...and that night strange things begin to happen. It's as if her world - our world - has shifted slightly, revealing another, parallel place that co-exists without our knowledge: the world of the Fey... Garet learns that one of her ancestors was 'the Watchtower': an immortal chosen to stand guard over the human and the fey worlds - a role that she has, it seems, inherited from her mother. But the equilibrium between these two existences is under threat. The 16th-century magician and necromancer Dr John Dee has returned, the box has been opened and the demons of Despair and Discord released. In a race against time and impending apocalypse, it is Garet who must find Dee...and close the box.

David Mitchell Three bestselling novels Cloud Atlas Black Swan Green and The Thousand Autumns of Jacob de Zoet

David Mitchell  Three bestselling novels  Cloud Atlas  Black Swan Green  and The Thousand Autumns of Jacob de Zoet Book
Author : David Mitchell
Publisher : Random House
Release : 2014-06-24
ISBN : 0812987004
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

In one virtuosic, mind-bending novel after another, David Mitchell continues to strengthen his reputation as “one of the more fascinating and fearless writers alive” (Dave Eggers, The New York Times Book Review) and “the novelist who’s been showing us the future of fiction” (Ron Charles, The Washington Post). Now three of his acclaimed novels—Cloud Atlas, Black Swan Green, and The Thousand Autumns of Jacob de Zoet—are collected in one extraordinary eBook bundle. Don’t miss The Bone Clocks, David Mitchell’s epic new novel about a fifteen-year-old English runaway who slams the door on her old life only to stumble into a supernatural war of good and evil on the margins of our world. CLOUD ATLAS “Mitchell is, clearly, a genius. He writes as though at the helm of some perpetual dream machine.”—The New York Times Book Review In 1850, an American notary voyaging from the Chatham Isles to his home in California is befriended by a physician who begins to treat him for a rare species of brain parasite. In 1931 Belgium, a disinherited bisexual composer contrives his way into the household of an infirm maestro with a beguiling wife and a nubile daughter. On the West Coast in the 1970s, a troubled reporter stumbles upon a web of corporate greed and murder. The narrative jumps onward to an inglorious present-day England; to a Korean superstate of the near future where neocapitalism has run amok; and, finally, to a postapocalyptic Iron Age Hawaii in the last days of history—then boomerangs back through centuries and space, revealing how these disparate characters connect and how their fates intertwine. BLACK SWAN GREEN “As in the works of Thomas Pynchon and Herman Melville, one feels the roof of the narrative lifted off and oneself in thrall.”—Time Thirteen-year-old Jason Taylor lives in the sleepiest, muddiest village in a dying Cold War England, 1982. But over the course of a single year, Jason discovers a world that is anything but sleepy: a world of Kissingeresque realpolitik enacted in boys’ games on a frozen lake; of “nightcreeping” through the summer backyards of strangers; of the cruel, luscious Dawn Madden and her power-hungry boyfriend; of a certain Madame Eva van Outryve de Crommelynck, an elderly bohemian emigré; of first cigarettes, first kisses, first Duran Duran LPs, and first deaths; of Margaret Thatcher’s recession; of Gypsies camping in the woods and the hysteria they inspire; and, even closer to home, of a slow-motion divorce in four seasons. THE THOUSAND AUTUMNS OF JACOB DE ZOET “Mitchell’s masterpiece; and also, I am convinced, a masterpiece of our time.”—Richard Eder, The Boston Globe The year is 1799, the place Dejima in Nagasaki Harbor, the Japanese Empire’s single port and sole window onto the world, designed to keep the West at bay. To this place of devious merchants, deceitful interpreters, and costly courtesans comes Jacob de Zoet, a devout young clerk who has five years in the East to earn a fortune of sufficient size to win the hand of his wealthy fiancée back in Holland. But Jacob’s original intentions are eclipsed after a chance encounter with Orito Aibagawa, the disfigured midwife to the city’s powerful magistrate. The borders between propriety, profit, and pleasure blur until Jacob finds his vision clouded, one rash promise made and then fatefully broken—the consequences of which will extend beyond Jacob’s worst imaginings.

Black Swan

Black Swan Book
Author : Helge Thygesen,Mark Berresford,Russ Shor
Publisher : Unknown
Release : 1996
ISBN : 0987650XXX
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

Download Black Swan book written by Helge Thygesen,Mark Berresford,Russ Shor, available in PDF, EPUB, and Kindle, or read full book online anywhere and anytime. Compatible with any devices.

The Phoenix Rising

The Phoenix Rising Book
Author : Richard L. Sanders
Publisher : Black Ocean Books, LLC
Release : 2011-06-22
ISBN : 0987650XXX
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

Download The Phoenix Rising book written by Richard L. Sanders, available in PDF, EPUB, and Kindle, or read full book online anywhere and anytime. Compatible with any devices.

Black Swan

Black Swan Book
Author : Lyrae Van Clief-Stefanon
Publisher : University of Pittsburgh Press
Release : 2002-11-15
ISBN : 0822979675
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

Winner of the 2001 Cave Canem Prize Selected by Marilyn Nelson Finalist, 2003 Paterson Poetry Prize "Imagine Leda black—" begins Lyrae Van Clief-Stefanon’s exciting new collection of poems. Mixing vernacular language with classical mythology, modern struggles with Biblical trials, she gives voice to silenced women past and present. In Van Clief-Stefanon’s powerful voice, last night’s angry words "puffed / into the dark room like steam / punching through the thick surface / of cooking grits." She remembers a child’s innocence "lost / in the house where I learned the red rug / against my chest, my knees / my tongue, . . . ." Black Swan is filled with pain, loss, hope, and the promise of salvation.

SUMMARY The Black Swan The Impact Of The Highly Improbable By Nassim Nicholas Taleb

SUMMARY   The Black Swan  The Impact Of The Highly Improbable By Nassim Nicholas Taleb Book
Author : Shortcut Edition
Publisher : Shortcut Edition
Release : 2021-06-17
ISBN : 0987650XXX
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

* Our summary is short, simple and pragmatic. It allows you to have the essential ideas of a big book in less than 30 minutes. By reading this summary, you will discover a new way of understanding uncertainty through the concept of the Black Swan. You will also discover : that the Black Swan is a surprising, unpredictable event with far-reaching consequences; why you fail to make predictions; that you are wrong to trust those you consider to be experts in their field; that you can take advantage of uncertainty. The world is made of uncertainties, but man continues to seek to understand and predict it. The more informed society is, the more expert it thinks it is and the more capable it is of understanding the world. However, when it discovers that not all swans are white, its very notion of knowledge is turned upside down. This event, which was very unlikely and with strong consequences, is called by Nassim Nicholas Taleb the "Black Swan". It can lead to success or failure and can make history. How can you approach this phenomenon and take advantage of it in your personal life? *Buy now the summary of this book for the modest price of a cup of coffee!