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Advances In Weather And Climate Forecast Verification

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Operational Weather Forecasting

Operational Weather Forecasting Book
Author : Peter Michael Inness,Steve Dorling
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Release : 2012-12-06
ISBN : 1118447638
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

This book offers a complete primer, covering the end-to-endprocess of forecast production, and bringing together a descriptionof all the relevant aspects together in a single volume; withplenty of explanation of some of the more complex issues andexamples of current, state-of-the-art practices. Operational Weather Forecasting covers the whole processof forecast production, from understanding the nature of theforecasting problem, gathering the observational data with which toinitialise and verify forecasts, designing and building a model (ormodels) to advance those initial conditions forwards in time andthen interpreting the model output and putting it into a form whichis relevant to customers of weather forecasts. Included is thegeneration of forecasts on the monthly-to-seasonal timescales,often excluded in text-books despite this type of forecastinghaving been undertaken for several years. This is a rapidly developing field, with a lot of variations inpractices between different forecasting centres. Thus theauthors have tried to be as generic as possible when describingaspects of numerical model design and formulation. Despitethe reliance on NWP, the human forecaster still has a big part toplay in producing weather forecasts and this is described, alongwith the issue of forecast verification – how forecastcentres measure their own performance and improve upon it. Advanced undergraduates and postgraduate students will use thisbook to understand how the theory comes together in the day-to-dayapplications of weather forecast production. In addition,professional weather forecasting practitioners, professional usersof weather forecasts and trainers will all find this new member ofthe RMetS Advancing Weather and Climate series avaluable tool. Provides an end-to-end description of the weather forecastingprocess Clearly structured and pitched at an accessible level, the bookdiscusses the practical choices that operational forecastingcentres have to make in terms of what numerical models they use andwhen they are run. Takes a very practical approach, using real life case-studiesto contextualize information Discusses the latest advances in the area, including ensemblemethods, monthly to seasonal range prediction and use of‘nowcasting’ tools such as radar and satelliteimagery Full colour throughout Written by a highly respected team of authors with experiencein both academia and practice. Part of the RMetS book series ‘Advancing Weather andClimate’

Handbook of Climate Services

Handbook of Climate Services Book
Author : Walter Leal Filho,Daniela Jacob
Publisher : Springer Nature
Release : 2020-01-17
ISBN : 3030368750
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

This book explores climate services, including projections, descriptive information, analyses, assessments, and an overview of current trends. Due to the pressures now being put on the world’s climate, it is vital to gather and share reliable climate observation and projection data, which may be tailored for use by different groups. In other words, it is essential to offer climate services. But despite the growth in the use of these services, there are very few specialist publications on this topic. This book addresses that need. Apart from presenting studies and the results of research projects, the book also offers an overview of the wide range of means available for providing and using climate services. In addition, it features case studies that provide illustrative and inspiring examples of how climate services can be optimally deployed.

Forecast Verification

Forecast Verification Book
Author : Ian T. Jolliffe,David B. Stephenson
Publisher : John Wiley & Sons
Release : 2011-12-30
ISBN : 0470660716
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

Forecast Verification: A Practioner's Guide in Atmospheric Science, 2nd Edition provides an indispensible guide to this area of active research by combining depth of information with a range of topics to appeal both to professional practitioners and researchers and postgraduates. The editors have succeeded in presenting chapters by a variety of the leading experts in the field while still retaining a cohesive and highly accessible style. The book balances explanations of concepts with clear and useful discussion of the main application areas. Reviews of first edition: "This book will provide a good reference, and I recommend it especially for developers and evaluators of statistical forecast systems." (Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society; April 2004) "...a good mixture of theory and practical applications...well organized and clearly written..." (Royal Statistical Society, Vol.168, No.1, January 2005) NEW to the second edition: Completely updated chapter on the Verification of Spatial Forecasts taking account of the wealth of new research in the area New separate chapters on Probability Forecasts and Ensemble Forecasts Includes new chapter on Forecasts of Extreme Events and Warnings Includes new chapter on Seasonal and Climate Forecasts Includes new Appendix on Verification Software Cover image credit: The triangle of barplots shows a novel use of colour for visualizing probability forecasts of ternary categories – see Fig 6b of Jupp et al. 2011, On the visualisation, verification and recalibration of ternary probabilistic forecasts, Phil. Trans. Roy. Soc. (in press).

Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences

Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences Book
Author : Daniel S. Wilks
Publisher : Academic Press
Release : 2011-07-04
ISBN : 0123850231
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

Statistical Methods in the Atmospheric Sciences, Third Edition, explains the latest statistical methods used to describe, analyze, test, and forecast atmospheric data. This revised and expanded text is intended to help students understand and communicate what their data sets have to say, or to make sense of the scientific literature in meteorology, climatology, and related disciplines. In this new edition, what was a single chapter on multivariate statistics has been expanded to a full six chapters on this important topic. Other chapters have also been revised and cover exploratory data analysis, probability distributions, hypothesis testing, statistical weather forecasting, forecast verification, and time series analysis. There is now an expanded treatment of resampling tests and key analysis techniques, an updated discussion on ensemble forecasting, and a detailed chapter on forecast verification. In addition, the book includes new sections on maximum likelihood and on statistical simulation and contains current references to original research. Students will benefit from pedagogical features including worked examples, end-of-chapter exercises with separate solutions, and numerous illustrations and equations. This book will be of interest to researchers and students in the atmospheric sciences, including meteorology, climatology, and other geophysical disciplines. Accessible presentation and explanation of techniques for atmospheric data summarization, analysis, testing and forecasting Many worked examples End-of-chapter exercises, with answers provided

21st Century Geography

21st Century Geography Book
Author : Joseph P. Stoltman
Publisher : SAGE
Release : 2011-10-20
ISBN : 141297464X
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

This is a theoretical and practical guide on how to undertake and navigate advanced research in the arts, humanities and social sciences.

Weather and Climate in Africa

Weather and Climate in Africa Book
Author : Colin Buckle
Publisher : Longman Publishing Group
Release : 1996
ISBN :
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

This is the first comprehensive introduction to the meteorology and climatology of Africa.

Climate Prediction and Agriculture

Climate Prediction and Agriculture Book
Author : Mannava VK Sivakumar,James Hansen
Publisher : Springer Science & Business Media
Release : 2007-05-26
ISBN : 3540446508
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

Based on an International Workshop held in Geneva in 2005, this book reviews the advances made so far in seasonal climate predictions and their applications for management and decision-making in agriculture. It also identifies the challenges to be addressed in the next 5 to 10 years to further enhance operational applications of climate predictions in agriculture, especially in developing countries.

Advances in Information Technology Research and Application 2011 Edition

Advances in Information Technology Research and Application  2011 Edition Book
Author : N.A
Publisher : ScholarlyEditions
Release : 2012-01-09
ISBN : 9781464920714
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

Advances in Information Technology Research and Application: 2011 Edition is a ScholarlyEditions™ eBook that delivers timely, authoritative, and comprehensive information about Information Technology. The editors have built Advances in Information Technology Research and Application: 2011 Edition on the vast information databases of ScholarlyNews.™ You can expect the information about Information Technology in this eBook to be deeper than what you can access anywhere else, as well as consistently reliable, authoritative, informed, and relevant. The content of Advances in Information Technology Research and Application: 2011 Edition has been produced by the world’s leading scientists, engineers, analysts, research institutions, and companies. All of the content is from peer-reviewed sources, and all of it is written, assembled, and edited by the editors at ScholarlyEditions™ and available exclusively from us. You now have a source you can cite with authority, confidence, and credibility. More information is available at http://www.ScholarlyEditions.com/.

Weather and Climate Services in Europe and Central Asia

Weather and Climate Services in Europe and Central Asia Book
Author : World Bank
Publisher : World Bank Publications
Release : 2008
ISBN :
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

Worldwide, the accuracy and value of weather and climate services are rising, bringing great economic benefits. However, many national hydrometeorological services in Europe and Central Asia are in decline. As a result, these potential gains are often missed. Much more could be done to mitigate weather disasters, support the productivity of smallholding and commercial agriculture, conserve energy, and promote safe aviation and transport by road and rail. Although capacity deficiencies are serious, they could be remedied significantly by relatively modest—but sustained—investments.

Empirical Methods in Short Term Climate Prediction

Empirical Methods in Short Term Climate Prediction Book
Author : Huug van den Dool,Principal Scientist Cpc and Adjunct Professor Huug Van Den Dool
Publisher : Oxford University Press on Demand
Release : 2007
ISBN :
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

This clear, accessible text describes the methods and advances in short-term climate prediction at time scales of 2 weeks to a year. With an emphasis on the prediction methods themselves and the use of observations, the text is ideal for students and researchers in Meteorology, Atmospheric Science, Geoscience, Mathematics, Statistics and Physics.

Estuarine and Coastal Modeling

Estuarine and Coastal Modeling Book
Author : Malcolm L. Spaulding
Publisher : Amer Society of Civil Engineers
Release : 2002
ISBN :
Language : En, Es, Fr & De

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Book Description :

This collection contains 66 papers on marine environmental modeling presented at the Seventh International Conference on Estuarine and Coastal Modeling, held in St. Petersburg, Florida, November 5-7, 2001.